<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Somewhat Manly Nerd &#187; moneyball</title>
	<atom:link href="http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/tag/moneyball/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog</link>
	<description>infrequent blogging from some dude</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2026 09:36:10 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en-US</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.1</generator>
		<item>
		<title>NeoGAF 2011 Movies of the Year (and Mine)</title>
		<link>http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/2012/03/04/neogaf-2011-movies-of-the-year-and-mine/</link>
		<comments>http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/2012/03/04/neogaf-2011-movies-of-the-year-and-mine/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Mar 2012 02:44:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>CajoleJuice</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Movies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[50/50]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[a separation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[attack the block]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drive]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hanna]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hugo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lots of tags]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[melancholia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[midnight in paris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mission impossible: ghost protocol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[moneyball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rango]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rise of the planet of the apes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[senna]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shame]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[take shelter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the adventures of tintin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the artist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the girl with the dragon tattoo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the skin i live in]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the tree of life]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tinker tailor soldier spy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[warrior]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/?p=3337</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m just going to follow the same format as last year&#8217;s post. I&#8217;ve been doing this for a while now, so I don&#8217;t think I need to preface how this voting took place on some forum on which I&#8217;ve spent the past third of my pathetic existence. Here are the full results if you care [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright" title="a woman's head gets blown to pieces in slow-motion" src="http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/pics/2011posters/drive.jpg" alt="" width="175" height="248" />I&#8217;m just going to follow the same format as <a href="http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/2011/03/02/neogaf-2010-movies-of-the-year/">last year&#8217;s post</a>. I&#8217;ve been doing this for a while now, so I don&#8217;t think I need to preface how this voting took place on some forum on which I&#8217;ve spent the past third of my pathetic existence. Here are the <a href="http://neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=464620">full results</a> if you care that much.</p>
<p><strong>1. Drive</strong><br />
<strong> 2. The Tree of Life</strong><br />
<strong> 3. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo</strong><br />
<strong> 4. Midnight in Paris</strong><br />
<strong> 5. 50/50</strong><br />
<strong> 6. Hugo</strong><br />
<strong> 7. Moneyball</strong><br />
<strong> 8. A Separation</strong><br />
<strong> 9. Rise of the Planet of the Apes</strong><br />
<strong> 10. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy</strong><br />
<strong> &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;</strong><br />
<strong> 11. Shame</strong><br />
<strong> 12. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol</strong><br />
<strong> 13. Warrior</strong><br />
<strong> 14. Take Shelter</strong><br />
<strong> 15. Rango</strong><br />
<strong> 16. Hanna</strong><br />
<strong> 17. The Skin I Live In</strong><br />
<strong> 18. Melancholia</strong><br />
<strong> 19. The Adventures of Tintin</strong><br />
<strong> 20. The Artist</strong></p>
<p>My personal list:</p>
<p><strong>1. A Separation</strong><br />
<strong> 2. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy</strong><br />
<strong> 3. 50/50</strong><br />
<strong> 4. Drive</strong><br />
<strong> 5. Midnight in Paris</strong><br />
<strong> 6. The Tree of Life</strong><br />
<strong> 7. Senna</strong><br />
<strong> 8.Â Attack the Block</strong><br />
<strong> 9. Take Shelter</strong><br />
<strong> 10. Warrior</strong></p>
<p>Some quick thoughts:</p>
<p>- This year felt pretty weak for the most part. I have issues with pretty much every movie on my list but #1. Although, <em>A Separation</em> is subtitled, eww. Kidding. I did read an essay somewhere that painted it getting past Iran&#8217;s censors as a negative.</p>
<p>- I thought <em>Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy</em> was disappointingly slow and dry the first time around, even though I still liked it. The second time, I caught countless more things, revealing just how immaculately edited and shot the film was. Some of the characterization is absurdly thin, but I guess that&#8217;s the drawback of attempting to adapt into a film a novel which was previously a five-hour television series.</p>
<p>- It might be surprising to see <em>50/50</em> up so high, but I thought its mix of comedy and drama was deftly balanced. Joseph Gordon-Levitt is great in the lead role, Anna Kendrick is suitably adorable as an inexperienced therapist, and I&#8217;m a Seth Rogen apologist.</p>
<p>- I really don&#8217;t have much to say about <em>Drive</em> anymore. Internet hype fatigue, not that I&#8217;m above that sort of thing.</p>
<p>- My experience with Woody Allen is pitiful, which apparently is the reason why I really enjoyed <em>Midnight in Paris</em>. I also loved the guy playing Hemingway.</p>
<p>- Maybe I needed to see <em>The Tree of Life</em> in a non-shitty theater to truly appreciate its beautiful cinematography, but the Sean Penn segments were so worthless and the film felt like a bit of a mess. The main growing-up part of the film is wonderful, though.</p>
<p>- <em>Senna</em> is one of the best documentaries I&#8217;ve ever seen, almost totally devoid of talking heads, and perfectly paced &#8212; which means fast-paced, since this is a documentary chronicling the life of a Formula One driver. I knew absolutely nothing about Formula One beforehand other than the name of Michael Schumacher and I was enthralled for the entire running time.</p>
<p>- It&#8217;s nice to see a pulpy action movie handle its lack of a budget extremely well. The monster designs in <em>Attack the Block</em> were ingenious, and having the bad kids from the poor part of the city become the heroes ties in well with the whole class warfare awareness going around.</p>
<p>- In retrospect maybe <em>Take Shelter</em> should be even higher, but I do remember coming out of the theater and feeling it was a tad too slow for me. Nonetheless, Michael Shannon being totally overlooked is insane. He put in easily the most impressive acting performance I watched last year. And I watched <em>Shame</em>, ok? At least <em>Take Shelter</em> is a good movie.</p>
<p>- I originally had <em>Hugo</em> in my 10th slot in the official voting, but fuck it, I want to give props to <em>Warrior</em>. I still can&#8217;t believe a movie with such shitty marketing came out so not-shitty. It might have been clichÃ©d as hell, but I enjoyed it more than the critically-acclaimed <em>The Fighter</em>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/2012/03/04/neogaf-2011-movies-of-the-year-and-mine/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Sabermetrics: A Movement In Three Books</title>
		<link>http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/2010/12/01/sabermetrics-a-movement-in-three-books/</link>
		<comments>http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/2010/12/01/sabermetrics-a-movement-in-three-books/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Dec 2010 04:25:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>CajoleJuice</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball between the numbers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball prospectus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball-reference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fangraphs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hardball times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[moneyball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the book]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/?p=3123</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Every baseball fan is at the very least aware of increased statistical analysis in Major League Baseball, whether they choose to accept the effectiveness of its application or not. While some fans have stuck with their traditional statistics, others have embraced every &#8220;made-up&#8221; stat under the sun. And then there are some that are interested, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every baseball fan is at the very least aware of increased statistical analysis in Major League Baseball, whether they choose to accept the effectiveness of its application or not. While some fans have stuck with their traditional statistics, others have embraced every &#8220;made-up&#8221; stat under the sun. And then there are some that are interested, but have never had the inclination to probe the world of WAR, OBP, WPA, VORP, and UZR. If you have no idea what any of those stand for, or you just want to have a better understanding of the movement behind such creations, I present to you the following three books:</p>
<h2><strong><img class="alignright" title="BILLY BEANNNEEEE!!!!" src="http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/pics/moneyballcover.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="454" />Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game</strong></h2>
<p>This is the book that alerted regular fans to the idea of sabermetrics. Joe Morgan famously railed against it; nerds in their basements embraced it; Hollywood decided to make a movie out of it. This is not a stat-filled textbook, but a well-written, entertaining story about the Oakland Athletics of the late 90s and early 00s, featuring Billy Beane as the protagonist.</p>
<p>It starts off telling the tale of a can&#8217;t-miss prospect who ended up flaming out in the minors even though he possessed all the tools baseball scouts dream of â€” a cannon for an arm, a beautiful swing, blinding speed, and the body of a Greek god (he even dated all the prettiest girls in high school!). As a prep prospect, he was even more highly touted than Darryl Strawberry. The name of this player was Billy Beane. Yes, the guy that made it cool to look at stats in your mother&#8217;s basement was also the prototypical high school alpha male.</p>
<p>Beane wasn&#8217;t just a tremendous athlete; he was also an extremely bright kid, but one who didn&#8217;t quite put as much effort into school as he should have. Yet he still almost went to college instead of taking the money to play baseball. He regretted the decision later, but he still managed to work himself up to the top of the A&#8217;s organization as their GM. Once there, he decided he would change how things were run.</p>
<p><em>Moneyball</em> delves into how Beane maximized his resources by selecting college players with great stats instead of high school players with great bodies. It harps on the importance of on-base percentage. It chronicles disagreements between Beane â€” and his sidekick Paul DePodesta with laptop in tow â€” and his scouts. It&#8217;s about a front office trying its best to discover inefficiencies in the market for baseball players, not about glorifying Billy Beane or a particular type of unathletic player. And while naysayers like to point at the playoff failures of those A&#8217;s teams as proof that it doesn&#8217;t work, winning 100 games isn&#8217;t an easy feat, and the baseball playoffs are as close to a crapshoot as sports come. Although, the next book in this post does shed some light on why &#8220;Moneyball&#8221; didn&#8217;t lead to a World Series title.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s been a few years since I read it, but <a href="http://www.amazinavenue.com/2010/11/17/1818723/aa-book-club-moneyball-chapter-1">Amazin&#8217; Avenue has created a book club</a> around it and I&#8217;m trying to keep up through online means, since I gave my copy to my cousin a year or so ago (I wonder if he ever read it). I would recommend following their posts if you want to pick up the book anytime soon. It&#8217;s where anyone interested in the &#8220;stathead&#8221; movement should begin their reading.</p>
<h2><strong><img class="alignleft" title="more like BY the numbers" src="http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/pics/bbtncover.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="453" />Baseball Between the Numbers: Why Everything You Know About the Game is Wrong</strong></h2>
<p>This book from <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/">Baseball Prospectus</a> is for anyone who wants to look the baseball with a more critical eye. Most of the stats that populate the book are not very popular in the sabersphere nowadays, but the research and reasoning behind each chapter are still as relevant as ever. There&#8217;s the idea of a replacement player and how that is important to assessing a player&#8217;s true value, a method of comparing the competitiveness of different leagues (including the minors), a takedown of the perceived importance of the RBI, and plenty of other essential knowledge for any intelligent baseball fan.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s also a comparison of Barry Bonds and Babe Ruth and a look at how overpaid Alex Rodriguez is. There&#8217;s an argument for a return to the four-man rotation, something I&#8217;d love to see make a comeback. There&#8217;s a dismantling of the notion that managers actually make a significant difference. There&#8217;s even a section which slights how much Rickey Henderson&#8217;s stolen-base prowess increased his value as a player. Too much good stuff to lay out in this blog post.</p>
<p>My favorite chapter title has to be &#8220;Why Doesn&#8217;t Billy Beane&#8217;s Shit Work in the Playoffs?&#8221;, and it&#8217;s definitely one of the more enlightening chapters as well. It shows how the prevailing idea that pitching wins championships is actually somewhat true, that a great rotation has a positive correlation with success in the playoffs. For an example, look at how the Giants won the World Series this year. I guess this is where people who hate &#8220;Moneyball&#8221; would start reading the book.</p>
<p><em>Baseball Between the Numbers</em> is just a perfect combination of good writing and good analysis. It doesn&#8217;t get too heavy with the stats, providing easy-to-understand charts when needed, and focusing more on the seemingly obvious conclusions which are arrived at after looking at the data, rather than the methodology. Yet everything is still explained enough so you know they are not just making things up nor manipulating the data to fit their agenda. It&#8217;s probably my favorite book out of the three which comprise this post.</p>
<h2><strong><img class="alignright" title="textbook of baseball" src="http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/pics/thebookcover.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="450" />The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball</strong></h2>
<p>This is the graduate course in sabermetrics. Do not read this book unless you like â€” or at the very least, understand â€” math. There are win expectancy matrices that take up multiple pages. All you have to do is look at <a href="http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/">Tom Tango&#8217;s website</a> for <em>The Book</em> to realize that this is just pure analysis with little regard for enjoyable writing. <em>The Book</em> has, in addition to the usual Table of Contents, a list of the 140 tables in the textbook. That&#8217;s what <em>The Book</em> is â€” a textbook for managing a baseball game. The preface even says this is an attempt to rewrite &#8220;the [unwritten] book&#8221;.</p>
<p><em>The Book </em>delves into platooning, the use of starters and relievers, pinch-hitting, sacrifice bunting, stealing bases, the intentional walk, lineup construction, and pretty much anything else that can be quantified. The authors use empirical data from multiple major league seasons to create their probability matrices and averages. If a math-averse person wanted to, they could just read the little boxes at the end of each section to see what &#8220;The Book&#8221; says on a specific topic without reading the details. An example would be:</p>
<blockquote><p>Your three best hitters should bat somewhere in the #1, #2, and #4 slots. Your fourth- and fifth-best hitters should occupy the #3 and #5 slots. The #1 and #2 slots will have players with more walks than those in the #4 and #5 slots. From slot #6 through #9 put players in descending order of quality.</p></blockquote>
<p>This flies in the face of the accepted wisdom of batting your best &#8220;overall&#8221; hitter 3rd, a fact which was gospel to me growing up.</p>
<p>As I said earlier, the stats mentioned in <em>Baseball Between the Numbers</em> aren&#8217;t exactly the darlings of the sabermetrics fan revolution nowadays. While the second book in this list talks about VORP (Value Over Replacement Player) and WARP (Wins Above Replacement Player), The Book uses WAR (Wins Above Replacement). <em>The Book</em> also goes into the creation and derivation of wOBA (weighted On-Base Average), which is an attempt to quantify each contribution from a hitter as accurately as possible. A stat like OPS (On-base Plus Slugging) weighs OBP (On-Base Percentage) and SLG (Slugging) equally, when OBP is about twice as important.</p>
<p>You must be getting the sense that this book is filled with acronyms and numbers and math. Not that <em>Baseball Between the Numbers</em> doesn&#8217;t have its hilarious acronyms, but it&#8217;s just not as heavy on the mathematical analysis. Or perhaps I just ignored many of the acronyms in <em>Baseball Between the Numbers</em> since no one uses them, even though the ideas behind them are sound.</p>
<p><em>The Book</em> also explains the idea of WPA (Win Probability Added), which is tied to the probability matrices I mentioned earlier. Basically, this book is what spawned Fangraphs, which is why this is the book that has the popular acronyms. Baseball Prospectus is just not the sabermetric darling of the moment. While their analysis is better than Fangraphs&#8217;, most of it is behind a paywall which even I&#8217;ve never paid for (but I&#8217;ve been thinking about it lately).</p>
<p>So that&#8217;s what a degree in sabermetrics looks like. And once you take it, you won&#8217;t be able to stay away from websites like <a href="http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/">Beyond the Box Score</a>, <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/">Fangraphs</a>, <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/">Baseball-Reference</a> (well, EVERY baseball fan knows this site), and The Book Blog. In addition to reading <a href="http://hardballtimes.com/">The Hardball Times website</a>, you&#8217;ll order their <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Hardball-Times-Baseball-Annual-2011/dp/0879464402/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1291263698&amp;sr=8-1">Annual</a> each year. Maybe you&#8217;ll even love the saber-tinted fantasy analysis at <a href="http://www.rotohardball.com/">Roto Hardball</a>.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://somewhatmanlynerd.com/blog/2010/12/01/sabermetrics-a-movement-in-three-books/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
